Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000257 0.000288 0.000321 0.000359 0.000401 0.000446 0.000499
2025-04-06 0.000216 0.000257 0.000305 0.000363 0.000431 0.000510 0.000608
2025-04-13 0.000185 0.000233 0.000290 0.000364 0.000457 0.000569 0.000716
2025-04-20 0.000159 0.000210 0.000274 0.000360 0.000473 0.000617 0.000814
2025-04-27 0.000144 0.000199 0.000270 0.000371 0.000508 0.000690 0.000950
2025-05-04 0.000130 0.000187 0.000264 0.000376 0.000535 0.000754 0.001078
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000176 0.000257 0.000379 0.000560 0.000816 0.001208
2025-05-18 0.000106 0.000164 0.000247 0.000376 0.000574 0.000862 0.001319
2025-05-25 0.000098 0.000156 0.000242 0.000381 0.000598 0.000925 0.001459
2025-06-01 0.000089 0.000146 0.000233 0.000377 0.000609 0.000969 0.001571
2025-06-08 0.000082 0.000138 0.000226 0.000376 0.000624 0.001019 0.001697
2025-06-15 0.000076 0.000131 0.000221 0.000377 0.000642 0.001074 0.001836
2025-06-22 0.000070 0.000124 0.000214 0.000374 0.000654 0.001122 0.001969
2025-06-29 0.000066 0.000119 0.000211 0.000378 0.000679 0.001194 0.002149
2025-07-06 0.000061 0.000114 0.000206 0.000380 0.000699 0.001259 0.002322
2025-07-13 0.000056 0.000107 0.000199 0.000376 0.000708 0.001305 0.002467
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000106 0.000201 0.000387 0.000746 0.001406 0.002719
2025-07-27 0.000051 0.000103 0.000199 0.000393 0.000773 0.001489 0.002943
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000099 0.000197 0.000397 0.000798 0.001569 0.003168
2025-08-10 0.000045 0.000094 0.000191 0.000393 0.000808 0.001622 0.003344
2025-08-17 0.000043 0.000092 0.000189 0.000398 0.000834 0.001706 0.003591
2025-08-24 0.000040 0.000087 0.000184 0.000394 0.000843 0.001757 0.003771
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000084 0.000180 0.000393 0.000857 0.001820 0.003981